The November foals are covering themselves in glory of late – think Anamoe, Nature Strip and Roch ‘N’ Horse so we’ve looked at the stats to see how this group have performed in the last 10 years.
Coming to end of the season it’s a decision to make whether to give a mare a late covering and have a November foal with stats saying there’s no basis not to on race results.
Since the start of season 2021 there have been 94 different horses win a Group One race in Australia or New Zealand.
19 of them were November foals, or 20%, in which case, given November foals represent just under 15% of all runners they are over-achieving of late.
The stats smooth out a little more covering the last 10 seasons – Aug 1, 2011 to August 1, 2021 but it does tend to suggest a November foal is every bit as good as one born at any other time of the season
November foals represent 14.8% of all runners. They subsequently represent 13.6% of all winners and 12.3% of all horses which either won or placed at stakes level.
Not really the stuff that would justify avoiding the scenario if basing it on the quality of resulting racehorse.
The 19 Group One winners in the last 15 months:
Anamoe, Asterix, Colette, Daumier, Duais, Entriviere, Fangirl, Graceful Girl, Hard Too Think, Maven Belle, Mo'unga, Nature Strip, Pier, Probabeel, Regal Power, Roch 'n' Horse, Smokin' Romans, Think It Over, Willowy.
A handy bunch.
